Tag Archives: incumbents

Southern Democratic incumbents aren’t as vulnerable as you might think

Incumbency is powerful. In the South, Democratic incumbents have won 85 percent of the time since 1990, and 77 percent since 2000.

The big Republican gains in the South have come mainly in open contests without an incumbent, often after a longtime Southern Democrat retires. Republicans have won 84 percent of open races in the South since 2000 — and three of their four losses came in Virginia and Florida, states that are different from the rest of the region.

Incumbent Southern Democrats Are Less Vulnerable Than You Might Think